Integrating Fourier Neural Operators with Diffusion Models to improve Spectral Representation of Synthetic Earthquake Ground Motion Response
Niccolò Perrone, Fanny Lehmann, Hugo Gabrielidis, Stefania Fresca, Filippo Gatti
TL;DR
Addresses the need for fast, broadband synthetic ground motions for nuclear facility design in regions with limited seismic catalogs. Proposes a two-stage approach combining the Multiple-Input Fourier Neural Operator (MIFNO) as a fast elastodynamics surrogate with a conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) to correct mid-frequency content. Key contributions include showing that DDPM improves spectral fidelity and GOF metrics while preserving physical wave arrivals, enabling rapid inference across site and source conditions. The work advances physics-based probabilistic seismic hazard assessment by providing a practical surrogate that reduces reliance on expensive numerical simulations, while highlighting future work on incorporating spatial correlations and offline dataset enrichment.
Abstract
Nuclear reactor buildings must be designed to withstand the dynamic load induced by strong ground motion earthquakes. For this reason, their structural behavior must be assessed in multiple realistic ground shaking scenarios (e.g., the Maximum Credible Earthquake). However, earthquake catalogs and recorded seismograms may not always be available in the region of interest. Therefore, synthetic earthquake ground motion is progressively being employed, although with some due precautions: earthquake physics is sometimes not well enough understood to be accurately reproduced with numerical tools, and the underlying epistemic uncertainties lead to prohibitive computational costs related to model calibration. In this study, we propose an AI physics-based approach to generate synthetic ground motion, based on the combination of a neural operator that approximates the elastodynamics Green's operator in arbitrary source-geology setups, enhanced by a denoising diffusion probabilistic model. The diffusion model is trained to correct the ground motion time series generated by the neural operator. Our results show that such an approach promisingly enhances the realism of the generated synthetic seismograms, with frequency biases and Goodness-Of-Fit (GOF) scores being improved by the diffusion model. This indicates that the latter is capable to mitigate the mid-frequency spectral falloff observed in the time series generated by the neural operator. Our method showcases fast and cheap inference in different site and source conditions.
