Counting statistics for geodesics on flat surfaces
Stephen Cantrell, Mark Pollicott
TL;DR
The paper develops Dolgopyat-free counting limit laws for comparing geometric length and combinatorial costs on infinite graphs and applies these results to translation surfaces, where saddle-connection paths yield two key quantities: the geometric length $\ell(p)$ and the singularity-visit length $|p|$. Through a complex-analytic and spectral framework, it establishes a law of large numbers, large deviations, and multi-dimensional central limit theorems for costs on path sets, under natural hypotheses (G1)–(G3) and their translation analogues (T1)–(T3). A central contribution is a method to center fluctuations via reparameterized transfer operators, derive asymptotics from a two-variable complex function $\eta_{\mathcal{G}}(s,t)$, and obtain non-degenerate Gaussian limits with explicit covariance structures. The results extend to holonomy vectors and visit counts to singularities, and a positive variance criterion ensures the CLTs are non-degenerate; this provides a rigorous probabilistic understanding of how geometric length and saddle-connection combinatorics relate on flat surfaces, with potential implications for quantitative geometry and Teichmüller dynamics.
Abstract
We study counting limit laws that compare length functions on infinite graphs. We then apply these results to flat surfaces to obtain a statistical comparison between the geometric length and the number of singularities visited by geodesic paths.
