Existence of critical tiltings and local limits of general size-conditioned Bienaymé-Galton-Watson multitype trees
Rémy Poudevigne, Paul Thévenin
TL;DR
This work develops a comprehensive framework for size-conditioned multitype BGW trees by introducing exponential tiltings and a convex-geometric apparatus centered on the function $\chi$ and the set $\mathcal{C}_{image}$. It proves that under regularity hypotheses (entire, finite, nondegenerate, irreducible, aperiodic), there exists a nonempty, smooth manifold of critical tiltings $\mathcal{M}_{crit}$ whose boundary corresponds to $\partial\mathcal{C}_{image}$ via $\chi$, and that these tiltings govern the asymptotic composition of types in large conditioned trees. A key outcome is a dichotomy: conditioned noncritical BGW trees can be analyzed through equivalent critical tiltings, enabling local limit results to be established and framed in terms of multitype Kesten trees with spines and grafted subtrees. The paper also clarifies the geometry of asymptotic directions, proves their accessibility properties, and provides counterexamples showing the necessity of entireness, enriching the understanding of when such equivalences hold and how general conditioning shapes local limits.
Abstract
We are interested in the structure of multitype Bienaymé-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees conditioned on integer linear combinations of the numbers of vertices of given types. We show that, under regularity assumptions on the offspring distributions, it is always possible to find a critical BGW tree having the same conditional distribution. This allows us to prove the existence of local limits for noncritical BGW trees, under a large variety of conditionings. Our proof is based on geometric considerations on the set of the so-called exponential tiltings of a family of offspring distributions.
