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Parametric Analysis of Network Evolution Processes

Peter Williams, Zhan Chen

TL;DR

This study addresses how node (career) and edge (collaboration) lifetimes evolve in two large-scale collaboration networks, the MAG and IMDb. It adopts a cohort-based empirical approach and Weibull modelling to quantify lifetime distributions, revealing universal Weibull shapes with $k \approx 0.2$ for academic careers and $k \approx 0.5$ for entertainment careers, persisting across centuries. While career longevity shows universal patterns, collaboration dynamics diverge: academic collaborations lengthen over time with increasing $\lambda$, whereas entertainment collaborations remain relatively stable, maintaining heavy-tailed lifetimes. These findings constrain social network evolution models to incorporate universal lifetime distributions alongside domain-specific growth dynamics, with implications for policy design and institutional strategies to foster durable collaboration patterns.

Abstract

We present a comprehensive parametric analysis of node and edge lifetimes processes in two large-scale collaboration networks: the Microsoft Academic Graph (1800-2020) and Internet Movie Database (1900-2020). Node and edge lifetimes (career and collaboration durations) follow Weibull distributions with consistent shape parameters ($k \approx 0.2$ for academic, $k \approx 0.5$ for entertainment careers) across centuries of evolution. These distributions persist despite dramatic changes in network size and structure. Edge processes show domain-specific evolution: academic collaboration durations increase over time (power-law index $1.6$ to $2.3$) while entertainment collaborations maintain more stable patterns (index $2.6$ to $2.1$). These findings indicate that while career longevity exhibits consistent patterns, collaboration dynamics appear to be influenced by domain-specific factors. The results provide new constraints for models of social network evolution, requiring incorporation of both universal lifetime distributions and domain-specific growth dynamics.

Parametric Analysis of Network Evolution Processes

TL;DR

This study addresses how node (career) and edge (collaboration) lifetimes evolve in two large-scale collaboration networks, the MAG and IMDb. It adopts a cohort-based empirical approach and Weibull modelling to quantify lifetime distributions, revealing universal Weibull shapes with for academic careers and for entertainment careers, persisting across centuries. While career longevity shows universal patterns, collaboration dynamics diverge: academic collaborations lengthen over time with increasing , whereas entertainment collaborations remain relatively stable, maintaining heavy-tailed lifetimes. These findings constrain social network evolution models to incorporate universal lifetime distributions alongside domain-specific growth dynamics, with implications for policy design and institutional strategies to foster durable collaboration patterns.

Abstract

We present a comprehensive parametric analysis of node and edge lifetimes processes in two large-scale collaboration networks: the Microsoft Academic Graph (1800-2020) and Internet Movie Database (1900-2020). Node and edge lifetimes (career and collaboration durations) follow Weibull distributions with consistent shape parameters ( for academic, for entertainment careers) across centuries of evolution. These distributions persist despite dramatic changes in network size and structure. Edge processes show domain-specific evolution: academic collaboration durations increase over time (power-law index to ) while entertainment collaborations maintain more stable patterns (index to ). These findings indicate that while career longevity exhibits consistent patterns, collaboration dynamics appear to be influenced by domain-specific factors. The results provide new constraints for models of social network evolution, requiring incorporation of both universal lifetime distributions and domain-specific growth dynamics.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 23 sections, 4 equations, 22 figures.

Figures (22)

  • Figure 1: $\chi^{2}$ and fitting parameter evolution for the career duration distributions shown in Figs. \ref{['mag_careers_a']} to \ref{['imdb_careers_c']}.
  • Figure 2: $\chi^{2}$ and fitting parameter evolution for the collaboration duration distributions shown in Figs. \ref{['mag_edges_removal_a']}-\ref{['imdb_edges_removal_c']}.
  • Figure 3: Distributions of the number of authors with a given career duration, for cohorts of authors who first published in a given year, 1800 to 1824. A power-law fit, Weibull fit, and a Weibull fit excluding the central data point are shown in black, green, and blue lines respectively. Note that the y-axis scale is the same in all plots.
  • Figure 4: Distributions of the number of authors with a given career duration, for cohorts of authors who first published in a given year, 1825 to 1859. A power-law fit, Weibull fit, and a Weibull fit excluding the central data point are shown in black, green, and blue lines respectively. Note that the y-axis scale is the same in all plots.
  • Figure 5: Distributions of the number of authors with a given career duration, for cohorts of authors who first published in a given year, 1850 to 1874. A power-law fit, Weibull fit, and a Weibull fit excluding the central data point are shown in black, green, and blue lines respectively. Note that the y-axis scale is the same in all plots.
  • ...and 17 more figures