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Fractional Cumulative Residual Entropy in the Quantile Framework and its Applications in the Financial Data

Iona Ann Sebastian, S. M. Sunoj

TL;DR

The paper introduces the quantile-based fractional cumulative residual entropy (Q-FCRE) and its dynamic variant (Q-DFCRE) for distributions with explicit quantile functions but intractable CDFs. It defines $\mathcal{E}_{\alpha}^{Q}(X)=\int_{0}^{1} (1-p)(-\log(1-p))^{\alpha} q(p)\,dp$ and develops a nonparametric plug-in estimator, along with theoretical properties, orderings, and transformation results. The authors validate the estimator via simulations under power-Pareto and Govindarajulu quantile models and demonstrate the method's discriminative power on the logistic map's chaotic vs. periodic regimes. They further apply Q-FCRE to DJIA price returns, showing enhanced sensitivity for small $\alpha$ and highlighting its potential for monitoring financial instability. Overall, Q-FCRE provides a versatile, quantile-based uncertainty measure suitable for complex, nonstationary systems and practical financial analysis.

Abstract

Fractional cumulative residual entropy (FCRE) is a powerful tool for the analysis of complex systems. Most of the theoretical results and applications related to the FCRE of the lifetime random variable are based on the distribution function approach. However, there are situations in which the distribution function may not be available in explicit form but has a closed-form quantile function (QF), an alternative method of representing a probability distribution. Motivated by this, in the present study we introduce a quantile-based FCRE, its dynamic version and their various properties and examine their usefulness in different applied fields.

Fractional Cumulative Residual Entropy in the Quantile Framework and its Applications in the Financial Data

TL;DR

The paper introduces the quantile-based fractional cumulative residual entropy (Q-FCRE) and its dynamic variant (Q-DFCRE) for distributions with explicit quantile functions but intractable CDFs. It defines and develops a nonparametric plug-in estimator, along with theoretical properties, orderings, and transformation results. The authors validate the estimator via simulations under power-Pareto and Govindarajulu quantile models and demonstrate the method's discriminative power on the logistic map's chaotic vs. periodic regimes. They further apply Q-FCRE to DJIA price returns, showing enhanced sensitivity for small and highlighting its potential for monitoring financial instability. Overall, Q-FCRE provides a versatile, quantile-based uncertainty measure suitable for complex, nonstationary systems and practical financial analysis.

Abstract

Fractional cumulative residual entropy (FCRE) is a powerful tool for the analysis of complex systems. Most of the theoretical results and applications related to the FCRE of the lifetime random variable are based on the distribution function approach. However, there are situations in which the distribution function may not be available in explicit form but has a closed-form quantile function (QF), an alternative method of representing a probability distribution. Motivated by this, in the present study we introduce a quantile-based FCRE, its dynamic version and their various properties and examine their usefulness in different applied fields.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 9 sections, 10 theorems, 39 equations, 4 figures, 4 tables.

Key Result

Theorem 2.1

If $X$ is lesser than $Y$ in the hazard quantile function order, denoted by $X\leq_{HQ}Y$, then $X \leq_{FCRQE} Y$.

Figures (4)

  • Figure 4: Q-FCRE of logistic map with varied parameters $a$, for the sample size $n=2000$.
  • Figure 5: Transformed price returns
  • Figure 6: Q-FCRE of DJIA dataset during the year 2014-2016
  • Figure 7: Q-FCRE of DJIA dataset

Theorems & Definitions (26)

  • Definition 2.1
  • Definition 2.2
  • Theorem 2.1
  • proof
  • Definition 2.3
  • Theorem 2.2
  • proof
  • Proposition 2.1
  • proof
  • Theorem 2.3
  • ...and 16 more