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More on the asymptotic behaviour of moments of branching Markov processes

Christopher B. C. Dean, Emma Horton

TL;DR

This paper develops a comprehensive asymptotic analysis of the higher-order moments of a measure-valued branching Markov process with non-local branching, allowing a non-simple leading eigenvalue and multiple spectral components. It constructs a generalized spectral framework with eigenvalues $\lambda_i$, a nilpotent operator $\mathcal{N}$, and associated eigenfunctions to obtain precise moment asymptotics across large, critical, and small growth regimes, including explicit leading terms $L_A$ and uniform error bounds. The main contributions are the rigorous, regime-by-regime descriptions of $\psi_t^{(k)}[\boldsymbol{f}]$ for $\boldsymbol{f}$ in spectral subspaces $\mathrm{Ei}(\Lambda_L)$, $\mathrm{Ei}(\Lambda_C)$, and $\mathrm{Ei}(\Lambda_S)$, plus inductive proof techniques leveraging a branching-structure operator $\zeta_{[k]}$ and an evolution equation relating higher-order moments to lower-order ones. These results lay the groundwork for central limit theorems and extended LLNs by providing the necessary fluctuation structure and moment control for $X_t$.

Abstract

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these results in understanding the underlying genealogical structure of $X$. In this article, we generalise the results of [7] to allow for a non-simple leading eigenvalue and to also study the higher order fluctuations of the moments of $X$. These results will be useful for proving central limit theorems and extending well-known LLN results.

More on the asymptotic behaviour of moments of branching Markov processes

TL;DR

This paper develops a comprehensive asymptotic analysis of the higher-order moments of a measure-valued branching Markov process with non-local branching, allowing a non-simple leading eigenvalue and multiple spectral components. It constructs a generalized spectral framework with eigenvalues , a nilpotent operator , and associated eigenfunctions to obtain precise moment asymptotics across large, critical, and small growth regimes, including explicit leading terms and uniform error bounds. The main contributions are the rigorous, regime-by-regime descriptions of for in spectral subspaces , , and , plus inductive proof techniques leveraging a branching-structure operator and an evolution equation relating higher-order moments to lower-order ones. These results lay the groundwork for central limit theorems and extended LLNs by providing the necessary fluctuation structure and moment control for .

Abstract

Consider a branching Markov process, , with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these results in understanding the underlying genealogical structure of . In this article, we generalise the results of [7] to allow for a non-simple leading eigenvalue and to also study the higher order fluctuations of the moments of . These results will be useful for proving central limit theorems and extending well-known LLN results.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 9 sections, 7 theorems, 74 equations.

Key Result

Theorem 2.1

Assume that for some $k\geq 2$, For $1\leq \ell \leq k$ and $t \ge 0$ set where, for $1\leq i \leq \ell$, $L_{\{i\}}[ \boldsymbol{f}](x) = \Phi_{\nu(f_i)}[f_i](x)$, and for $A \subseteq [\ell]$ with $2 \le |A|\le \ell$, and where Then, for $1\leq \ell \leq k$,

Theorems & Definitions (11)

  • Theorem 2.1: Large Regime
  • Theorem 2.2: Small Regime
  • Remark 2.3
  • Theorem 2.4: Critical Regime
  • Lemma 3.1
  • proof
  • Lemma 3.2
  • Lemma 3.3
  • proof
  • Lemma 4.1
  • ...and 1 more