SIGN: A Statistically-Informed Gaze Network for Gaze Time Prediction
Jianping Ye, Michel Wedel
TL;DR
This work tackles predicting gaze time when only aggregate gaze data are available, proposing SIGN, a Statistically-Informed Gaze Network that fuses a foundational scan-path statistical model with a CNN/Transformer-based neural implementation. The approach decomposes gaze into a gist-driven initial term and a local region contribution, yielding both an overall gaze time predictor and an inferred region-wise gaze pattern $p_{S_j}$. Key contributions include (i) a formal probabilistic formulation linking $\mathbb{E}(G)$ to $(\mu_0, \mu, w_j)$ and (ii) a practical architecture that estimates these components and outputs plausible fixation maps. Empirical results on AdGaze3500 and COCO-Search18 show SIGN achieves better gaze-time prediction than strong baselines and generates gaze maps that align with empirical fixation patterns, demonstrating potential for applications in advertising and human-computer interaction under aggregate data constraints. The work lays groundwork for privacy-preserving gaze modeling with impact potential in industry and research by enabling gaze-time predictions and interpretable fixation maps from aggregate data.
Abstract
We propose a first version of SIGN, a Statistically-Informed Gaze Network, to predict aggregate gaze times on images. We develop a foundational statistical model for which we derive a deep learning implementation involving CNNs and Visual Transformers, which enables the prediction of overall gaze times. The model enables us to derive from the aggregate gaze times the underlying gaze pattern as a probability map over all regions in the image, where each region's probability represents the likelihood of being gazed at across all possible scan-paths. We test SIGN's performance on AdGaze3500, a dataset of images of ads with aggregate gaze times, and on COCO-Search18, a dataset with individual-level fixation patterns collected during search. We demonstrate that SIGN (1) improves gaze duration prediction significantly over state-of-the-art deep learning benchmarks on both datasets, and (2) can deliver plausible gaze patterns that correspond to empirical fixation patterns in COCO-Search18. These results suggest that the first version of SIGN holds promise for gaze-time predictions and deserves further development.
