Heterogeneous Federated Learning Systems for Time-Series Power Consumption Prediction with Multi-Head Embedding Mechanism
Jia-Hao Syu, Jerry Chun-Wei Lin, Gautam Srivastava, Unil Yun
TL;DR
The paper tackles privacy-aware time-series power consumption prediction across heterogeneous clients by introducing Multi-Head Heterogeneous Federated Learning (MHHFL). It couples a data-preprocessing pipeline with multiple head networks, each producing a 2D output that is embedded and shared to a central source pool for asynchronous knowledge transfer via head selection and blending. Empirical results on AIUT and Husky datasets show substantial reductions in prediction error (up to $94.1\%$ versus SOTA) and robust performance under simulated latency, with ablations validating the importance of head embedding and selection mechanisms. The approach reduces privacy leakage by sharing only head-network information and offers security benefits through filtering and blending, making it practically impactful for privacy-preserving, multi-domain power prediction.
Abstract
Time-series prediction is increasingly popular in a variety of applications, such as smart factories and smart transportation. Researchers have used various techniques to predict power consumption, but existing models lack discussion of collaborative learning and privacy issues among multiple clients. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Head Heterogeneous Federated Learning (MHHFL) systems that consist of multiple head networks, which independently act as carriers for federated learning. In the federated period, each head network is embedded into 2-dimensional vectors and shared with the centralized source pool. MHHFL then selects appropriate source networks and blends the head networks as knowledge transfer in federated learning. The experimental results show that the proposed MHHFL systems significantly outperform the benchmark and state-of-the-art systems and reduce the prediction error by 24.9% to 94.1%. The ablation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed mechanisms in the MHHFL (head network embedding and selection mechanisms), which significantly outperforms traditional federated average and random transfer.
