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On the entropy minimal martingale measure in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model

Yuri Kabanov, Mikhail A. Sonin

TL;DR

The paper addresses option pricing in an incomplete market governed by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model, where the pricing measure is chosen by entropy minimization. It implements the Hobson construction to derive an explicit minimal-entropy equivalent martingale measure, with density $Z^o_T = \exp(-\int_0^T (\mu + \kappa t)/\sigma \; dB_t - \tfrac{1}{2}\int_0^T (\mu + \kappa t)^2/\sigma^2 \,dt)$. Under the resulting measure, the dynamics of the asset and volatility factors are given by $dS_t = S_t Y_t dB^o_t$ and $dY_t = Y_t(\theta + \tfrac{1}{2}\beta^2 + \alpha \ln\sigma - \alpha \ln Y_t - \rho \beta (\mu + \kappa t)/\sigma) dt + \beta Y_t dW^o_t$, with cross-term structure $\mathbb{E}^o[dB^o_t dW^o_t] = \rho dt$. The paper also solves the Hobson equation in this setting, derives the explicit form of the corresponding $f(t)$, and validates the approach via simulations on real data, showing reasonable pricing accuracy. This provides a practical, theoretically grounded method for pricing under entropy minimization in a two-factor SV framework with exponential OU volatility.

Abstract

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the price evolution depend on the exponential of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. After a brief revision of the related theory the entropy-minimal equivalent martingale measure. is calculated.

On the entropy minimal martingale measure in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model

TL;DR

The paper addresses option pricing in an incomplete market governed by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model, where the pricing measure is chosen by entropy minimization. It implements the Hobson construction to derive an explicit minimal-entropy equivalent martingale measure, with density . Under the resulting measure, the dynamics of the asset and volatility factors are given by and , with cross-term structure . The paper also solves the Hobson equation in this setting, derives the explicit form of the corresponding , and validates the approach via simulations on real data, showing reasonable pricing accuracy. This provides a practical, theoretically grounded method for pricing under entropy minimization in a two-factor SV framework with exponential OU volatility.

Abstract

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the price evolution depend on the exponential of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. After a brief revision of the related theory the entropy-minimal equivalent martingale measure. is calculated.
Paper Structure (9 sections, 7 theorems, 26 equations, 2 figures)

This paper contains 9 sections, 7 theorems, 26 equations, 2 figures.

Key Result

lemma thmcounterlemma

$F'_0={\bf E} f'_0={\bf E} Z\ln \tilde{Z}-{\bf E}\varphi (\tilde{Z})$.

Figures (2)

  • Figure 1: The average weekly volatility for AAPL stock. The share price data are taken from the website https://finance.yahoo.com/ in the period from Jan. 1, 2018 to Dec. 1, 2024.
  • Figure 2: Plot of American call option prices with strike $K = 90$ and expiry date $T = 21.04.2023$ calculated by the model and the realised market prices of this instrument. The model parameters are: $Y_0 = 0.3, \mu = 0.25, \kappa = 0, \sigma = 0.5, \alpha = 0.75, \theta = 0.1, \beta = 0.2, \rho = -0.5$.

Theorems & Definitions (7)

  • lemma thmcounterlemma
  • lemma thmcounterlemma
  • lemma thmcounterlemma
  • lemma thmcounterlemma
  • proposition thmcounterproposition
  • proposition thmcounterproposition
  • theorem 1