High and odd moments in the Erdős--Kac theorem
Ofir Gorodetsky
TL;DR
The paper investigates high and odd moments in the Erdős–Kac setting, clarifying when the centered count $\frac{\omega(n)-\log\log x}{\sqrt{\log\log x}}$ behaves like a Gaussian and when Poisson-type deviations take over. It develops a saddle-point–generating-function framework to compare Erdős–Kac moments with those of Poisson and Bernoulli sums, yielding precise asymptotics for $k$ up to $O(\log\log x)$ and identifying a sharp transition at $k\sim (\log\log x)^{1/3}$. The results include new asymptotics for odd moments in the regime $k=O((\log\log x)^{1/3})$ and demonstrate that Meissel–Mertens constants and Poisson-Bernoulli models provide excellent approximations for the Erdős–Kac moments. The methods are robust and extend to other distributions, highlighting the broader applicability of generating-function and saddle-point techniques in probabilistic number theory.
Abstract
Granville and Soundararajan showed that the $k$th moment in the Erdős--Kac theorem is equal to the $k$th moment of the standard Gaussian distribution in the range $k=o((\log \log x)^{1/3})$, up to a negligible error term. We show that their range is sharp: when $k/(\log \log x)^{1/3}$ tends to infinity, a different behavior emerges, and odd moments start exhibiting similar growth to even moments. For odd $k$ we find the asymptotics of the $k$th moment when $k=O((\log \log x)^{1/3})$, where previously only an upper bound was known. Our methods are flexible and apply to other distributions, including the Poisson distribution, whose centered moments turn out to be excellent approximations for the Erdős--Kac moments.
