A Demigod's Number for the Rubik's Cube
Arturo Merino, Bernardo Subercaseaux
TL;DR
The paper tackles the long-standing Rubik's Cube diameter problem (God's Number) by introducing a reproducible, probabilistic bound of $D \le 36$, derived from the mean distance $\mu$ in vertex-transitive graphs via the relation $D < 2\mu$. It estimates $\mu$ through uniform sampling of random cube states and upper-bounding single-state distances with a solver, then applying a Hoeffding-type concentration bound to translate the empirical mean $\widehat{\mu}$ into a high-confidence diameter bound. The key contributions are (i) a simple, verifiable method to bound the cube's diameter, (ii) a general demonstration that vertex-transitive graphs have diameters at most twice their mean distance, and (iii) practical steps to reduce sample requirements while maintaining rigorous confidence. The approach offers a meaningful, reproducible alternative to the heavy computation behind the original God’s Number proof and suggests applicability to other puzzles and vertex-transitive graphs in evaluating diameters.
Abstract
It is well-known by now that any state of the $3\times 3 \times 3$ Rubik's Cube can be solved in at most 20 moves, a result often referred to as "God's Number". However, this result took Rokicki et al. around 35 CPU years to prove and is therefore very challenging to reproduce. We provide a novel approach to obtain a worse bound of 36 moves with high confidence, but that offers two main advantages: (i) it is easy to understand, reproduce, and verify, and (ii) our main idea generalizes to bounding the diameter of other vertex-transitive graphs by at most twice its true value, hence the name "demigod number". Our approach is based on the fact that, for vertex-transitive graphs, the average distance between vertices is at most half the diameter, and by sampling uniformly random states and using a modern solver to obtain upper bounds on their distance, a standard concentration bound allows us to confidently state that the average distance is around $18.32 \pm 0.1$, from where the diameter is at most $36$.
