A new approach to locally adaptive polynomial regression
Sabyasachi Chatterjee, Subhajit Goswami, Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee
TL;DR
This work tackles locally adaptive nonparametric regression by introducing LASER, a bandwidth-selection method driven by a local discrepancy measure that mirrors regression-tree splitting criteria. By selecting the largest interval around each point where the discrepancy is below a universal threshold $\lambda$, LASER achieves near-optimal pointwise adaptation to local Hölder regularity with a single tuning parameter, $\lambda \asymp \sigma\sqrt{\log n}$. The authors establish non-asymptotic risk bounds that adapt to the local smoothness $f \in C^{r_0,\alpha_0}$ and provide a unified analysis across degrees $r$, supported by polynomial-structure lemmas. The method is shown to be competitive with, and often superior to, existing locally adaptive approaches, and is implemented in an R package with efficient dyadic variants, offering a new perspective on bandwidth selection and potential extensions to robust losses and higher dimensions.
Abstract
Adaptive bandwidth selection is a fundamental challenge in nonparametric regression. This paper introduces a new bandwidth selection procedure inspired by the optimality criteria for $\ell_0$-penalized regression. Although similar in spirit to Lepski's method and its variants in selecting the largest interval satisfying an admissibility criterion, our approach stems from a distinct philosophy, utilizing criteria based on $\ell_2$-norms of interval projections rather than explicit point and variance estimates. We obtain non-asymptotic risk bounds for the local polynomial regression methods based on our bandwidth selection procedure which adapt (near-)optimally to the local Hölder exponent of the underlying regression function simultaneously at all points in its domain. Furthermore, we show that there is a single ideal choice of a global tuning parameter in each case under which the above-mentioned local adaptivity holds. The optimal risks of our methods derive from the properties of solutions to a new ``bandwidth selection equation'' which is of independent interest. We believe that the principles underlying our approach provide a new perspective to the classical yet ever relevant problem of locally adaptive nonparametric regression.
