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A new approach to locally adaptive polynomial regression

Sabyasachi Chatterjee, Subhajit Goswami, Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

TL;DR

This work tackles locally adaptive nonparametric regression by introducing LASER, a bandwidth-selection method driven by a local discrepancy measure that mirrors regression-tree splitting criteria. By selecting the largest interval around each point where the discrepancy is below a universal threshold $\lambda$, LASER achieves near-optimal pointwise adaptation to local Hölder regularity with a single tuning parameter, $\lambda \asymp \sigma\sqrt{\log n}$. The authors establish non-asymptotic risk bounds that adapt to the local smoothness $f \in C^{r_0,\alpha_0}$ and provide a unified analysis across degrees $r$, supported by polynomial-structure lemmas. The method is shown to be competitive with, and often superior to, existing locally adaptive approaches, and is implemented in an R package with efficient dyadic variants, offering a new perspective on bandwidth selection and potential extensions to robust losses and higher dimensions.

Abstract

Adaptive bandwidth selection is a fundamental challenge in nonparametric regression. This paper introduces a new bandwidth selection procedure inspired by the optimality criteria for $\ell_0$-penalized regression. Although similar in spirit to Lepski's method and its variants in selecting the largest interval satisfying an admissibility criterion, our approach stems from a distinct philosophy, utilizing criteria based on $\ell_2$-norms of interval projections rather than explicit point and variance estimates. We obtain non-asymptotic risk bounds for the local polynomial regression methods based on our bandwidth selection procedure which adapt (near-)optimally to the local Hölder exponent of the underlying regression function simultaneously at all points in its domain. Furthermore, we show that there is a single ideal choice of a global tuning parameter in each case under which the above-mentioned local adaptivity holds. The optimal risks of our methods derive from the properties of solutions to a new ``bandwidth selection equation'' which is of independent interest. We believe that the principles underlying our approach provide a new perspective to the classical yet ever relevant problem of locally adaptive nonparametric regression.

A new approach to locally adaptive polynomial regression

TL;DR

This work tackles locally adaptive nonparametric regression by introducing LASER, a bandwidth-selection method driven by a local discrepancy measure that mirrors regression-tree splitting criteria. By selecting the largest interval around each point where the discrepancy is below a universal threshold , LASER achieves near-optimal pointwise adaptation to local Hölder regularity with a single tuning parameter, . The authors establish non-asymptotic risk bounds that adapt to the local smoothness and provide a unified analysis across degrees , supported by polynomial-structure lemmas. The method is shown to be competitive with, and often superior to, existing locally adaptive approaches, and is implemented in an R package with efficient dyadic variants, offering a new perspective on bandwidth selection and potential extensions to robust losses and higher dimensions.

Abstract

Adaptive bandwidth selection is a fundamental challenge in nonparametric regression. This paper introduces a new bandwidth selection procedure inspired by the optimality criteria for -penalized regression. Although similar in spirit to Lepski's method and its variants in selecting the largest interval satisfying an admissibility criterion, our approach stems from a distinct philosophy, utilizing criteria based on -norms of interval projections rather than explicit point and variance estimates. We obtain non-asymptotic risk bounds for the local polynomial regression methods based on our bandwidth selection procedure which adapt (near-)optimally to the local Hölder exponent of the underlying regression function simultaneously at all points in its domain. Furthermore, we show that there is a single ideal choice of a global tuning parameter in each case under which the above-mentioned local adaptivity holds. The optimal risks of our methods derive from the properties of solutions to a new ``bandwidth selection equation'' which is of independent interest. We believe that the principles underlying our approach provide a new perspective to the classical yet ever relevant problem of locally adaptive nonparametric regression.
Paper Structure (18 sections, 10 theorems, 91 equations, 4 figures, 3 algorithms)

This paper contains 18 sections, 10 theorems, 91 equations, 4 figures, 3 algorithms.

Key Result

theorem 1

Fix a degree $r \in \N$ and let $f : [0, 1] \to \R$. There exist constants $\Cl{C:lambda}$ and $\Cl{C:bnd} = \Cr{C:bnd}(r)$ such that the following holds with high probability for $\lambda = C_1 \sigma \sqrt{\log n}$. Simultaneously for all quadruplets $(i_0, s_0, r_0, \alpha_0)$ where $i_0 \in [n]$ where $\widehat{f}(\frac{i_0}{n}) = \widehat{f}_{\textsf{LASER}{}(r, \lambda)} (\tfrac{i_0}{n})$ is

Figures (4)

  • Figure 1: The Blocks function. We have used LASER with $r = 0$ and $0$-th order Trend Filtering.
  • Figure 2: The Bumps function. We have used LASER with $r = 2$ and $2$-nd order Trend Filtering.
  • Figure 3: The HeaviSine function. We have used LASER with $r = 2$ and $2$-nd order Trend Filtering.
  • Figure 4: The Doppler function. We have used LASER with $r = 2$ and $2$-nd order Trend Filtering.

Theorems & Definitions (21)

  • definition 1: Hölder space
  • theorem 1: Local Adaptivity Result
  • proposition 1
  • lemma 1
  • remark 1
  • proof
  • proof : Proof of Proposition \ref{['prop:noise_threshold_decomp']}
  • lemma 2
  • proof
  • proposition 2
  • ...and 11 more