Characterising Simulation-Based Program Equilibria
Emery Cooper, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer
TL;DR
This work investigates simulation-based program equilibria where players submit programs that reason about opponents’ code. It generalizes the ε-GroundedπBot approach to both correlated (shared randomness) and uncorrelated settings, proving a folk theorem in the correlated case and characterizing what equilibria are possible without shared randomness. It introduces correlated and uncorrelated variants, the use of apply^* to screen private randomness, and a repeated-game interpretation with screening and correlating signals to establish broad sets of achievable payoffs. It further shows intrinsic limits: without shared randomness, the full Tennenholtz folk theorem cannot be reached in general, though additively separable utilities admit a stronger result, and it analyzes how general simulation-based programs face fundamental limits even with advanced schemes.
Abstract
In Tennenholtz's program equilibrium, players of a game submit programs to play on their behalf. Each program receives the other programs' source code and outputs an action. This can model interactions involving AI agents, mutually transparent institutions, or commitments. Tennenholtz (2004) proves a folk theorem for program games, but the equilibria constructed are very brittle. We therefore consider simulation-based programs -- i.e., programs that work by running opponents' programs. These are relatively robust (in particular, two programs that act the same are treated the same) and are more practical than proof-based approaches. Oesterheld's (2019) $ε$Grounded$π$Bot is such an approach. Unfortunately, it is not generally applicable to games of three or more players, and only allows for a limited range of equilibria in two player games. In this paper, we propose a generalisation to Oesterheld's (2019) $ε$Grounded$π$Bot. We prove a folk theorem for our programs in a setting with access to a shared source of randomness. We then characterise their equilibria in a setting without shared randomness. Both with and without shared randomness, we achieve a much wider range of equilibria than Oesterheld's (2019) $ε$Grounded$π$Bot. Finally, we explore the limits of simulation-based program equilibrium, showing that the Tennenholtz folk theorem cannot be attained by simulation-based programs without access to shared randomness.
