A substellar flyby that shaped the orbits of the giant planets
Garett Brown, Renu Malhotra, Hanno Rein
TL;DR
The paper investigates whether the solar system's giant planets' modest eccentricities and inclinations can arise from an external perturbation rather than solely from planet–planet interactions. It uses a Monte Carlo suite of $5\times10^4$ flybys in an open-cluster environment, sampling substellar masses from the IMF and integrating with $N$-body methods; a log-spectral distance metric $\mathcal{M}$ compares the post-flyby secular spectra to a solar-system reference ensemble. They find about $0.844\%$ of close flybys produce solar-system-like spectra, with a best-match case at $m_\star\simeq 8.27\,M_J$, $q_\star\simeq 1.69\mathrm{AU}$, $v_\infty\simeq 2.69\mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, and $i_\star\simeq 131^\circ$, closely reproducing the giant planets' fundamental secular modes. The inferred probability of such an encounter shaping the solar system is around $1$ in $9{,}005$ per cluster lifetime, implying that substellar flybys are a plausible contributor to planetary architectures and have broad implications for Kuiper belt dynamics and exoplanet system histories, with terrestrial planets often surviving the encounter.
Abstract
The modestly eccentric and non-coplanar orbits of the giant planets pose a challenge to solar system formation theories which generally indicate that the giant planets emerged from the protoplanetary disk in nearly perfectly circular and coplanar orbits. We demonstrate that a single encounter with a 2-50 Jupiter-mass object, passing through the solar system at a perihelion distance less than 20 AU and a hyperbolic excess velocity of 1-3 km/s, can excite the giant planets' eccentricities and mutual inclinations to values comparable to those observed. We describe a metric to evaluate how closely a simulated flyby system matches the eccentricity and inclination secular modes of the solar system. We estimate that there is about a 1-in-9000 chance that such a flyby occurs during the solar system's residence in its primordial cluster and produces a dynamical architecture similar to that of the solar system. The scenario of an ancient close encounter with a substellar object offers a plausible explanation for the origin of the moderate eccentricities and inclinations and the secular architecture of the planets. We discuss some broader implications of disruptive flyby encounters on planetary systems in the Galaxy.
