Malle's conjecture and Brauer groups of stacks
Daniel Loughran, Tim Santens
TL;DR
The paper develops a stack-theoretic framework for Malle's conjecture by studying the classifying stack BG of a finite group G, introducing a refined Brauer-group toolkit (including unramified and partially unramified Brauer groups) and a stacky Hensel theory to define heights and Tamagawa measures on BG. This enables a mass formula and precise leading-constant predictions, expressed as finite sums of Euler products and modulated by Brauer–Manin obstructions arising from breaking cocycles. It also integrates orbifold Picard theory, Iitaka-type fibrations, and the notion of balanced heights to explain when the Malle–Bhargava heuristics hold and how exceptional sets alter leading constants. The results apply to classical groups (e.g. S_n, D_4, A_4) and reveal intricate connections between ramification data, residuums along sectors, and arithmetic obstructions, with extensions to function fields. Overall, the work provides a coherent, computable framework linking Malle's conjecture to stack-theoretic invariants, enabling systematic leading-constant calculations and clarifying the role of Brauer obstructions in field counting problems.
Abstract
We put forward a conjecture for the leading constant in Malle's conjecture on number fields of bounded discriminant, guided by stacky versions of conjectures of Batyrev-Manin, Batyrev-Tschinkel, and Peyre on rational points of bounded height on Fano varieties. A new framework for Brauer groups of stacks plays a key role in our conjecture, and we define a new notion of the unramified Brauer group of an algebraic stack.
