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Mobility-based Traffic Forecasting in a Multimodal Transport System

Henock M. Mboko, Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde, Babacar M. Ndiaye

TL;DR

This work focuses on exploring some machine learning methods to predict (with a certain probability) traffic in a multimodal transportation network from population mobility data.

Abstract

We study the analysis of all the movements of the population on the basis of their mobility from one node to another, to observe, measure, and predict the impact of traffic according to this mobility. The frequency of congestion on roads directly or indirectly impacts our economic or social welfare. Our work focuses on exploring some machine learning methods to predict (with a certain probability) traffic in a multimodal transportation network from population mobility data. We analyze the observation of the influence of people's movements on the transportation network and make a likely prediction of congestion on the network based on this observation (historical basis).

Mobility-based Traffic Forecasting in a Multimodal Transport System

TL;DR

This work focuses on exploring some machine learning methods to predict (with a certain probability) traffic in a multimodal transportation network from population mobility data.

Abstract

We study the analysis of all the movements of the population on the basis of their mobility from one node to another, to observe, measure, and predict the impact of traffic according to this mobility. The frequency of congestion on roads directly or indirectly impacts our economic or social welfare. Our work focuses on exploring some machine learning methods to predict (with a certain probability) traffic in a multimodal transportation network from population mobility data. We analyze the observation of the influence of people's movements on the transportation network and make a likely prediction of congestion on the network based on this observation (historical basis).

Paper Structure

This paper contains 19 sections, 1 equation, 12 figures, 14 tables.

Figures (12)

  • Figure 1: Average mobility trend in Senegal (2020-2022)
  • Figure 2: Average density from 2020 to 2022
  • Figure 3: Pairwise correlation of variables
  • Figure 4: Correlation by pair of variables
  • Figure 5: Correlation by pair of variables
  • ...and 7 more figures