The Cohen--Lenstra moments over function fields via the stable homology of non-splitting Hurwitz spaces
Aaron Landesman, Ishan Levy
TL;DR
This work establishes the Cohen–Lenstra moments for quadratic function fields over $\\mathbb{F}_q(t)$ in a large-$q$ regime by connecting arithmetic statistics to topology. The authors compute the stable rational homology of non-splitting Hurwitz spaces, then translate these topological invariants into exact moment formulas for odd-order abelian groups and certain non-abelian cases, including roots of unity. Their approach hinges on localization and completion via homological epimorphisms, a detailed rack/hurwitz-space analysis, and point-counting via the Grothendieck–Lefschetz trace formula. The results illuminate the function-field Cohen–Lenstra heuristics, providing the first nontrivial moments beyond the cubic-case and laying groundwork for further investigations into roots-of-unity phenomena and non-abelian analogues.
Abstract
We compute the average number of surjections from class groups of quadratic function fields over $\mathbb F_q(t)$ onto finite odd order groups $H$, once $q$ is sufficiently large. These yield the first known moments of these class groups, as predicted by the Cohen--Lenstra heuristics, apart from the case $H = \mathbb Z/3\mathbb Z$. The key input to this result is a topological one, where we compute the stable rational homology groups of Hurwitz spaces associated to non-splitting conjugacy classes.
