Infectious Disease Forecasting in India using LLM's and Deep Learning

TL;DR

This paper implements deep learning algorithms and LLM's to predict the severity of infectious disease outbreaks in India and the climatic data spanning the past decade aim to assist in creating a robust predictive system for any outbreaks in the future.

Abstract

Many uncontrollable disease outbreaks of the past exposed several vulnerabilities in the healthcare systems worldwide. While advancements in technology assisted in the rapid creation of the vaccinations, there needs to be a pressing focus on the prevention and prediction of such massive outbreaks. Early detection and intervention of an outbreak can drastically reduce its impact on public health while also making the healthcare system more resilient. The complexity of disease transmission dynamics, influence of various directly and indirectly related factors and limitations of traditional approaches are the main bottlenecks in taking preventive actions. Specifically, this paper implements deep learning algorithms and LLM's to predict the severity of infectious disease outbreaks. Utilizing the historic data of several diseases that have spread in India and the climatic data spanning the past decade, the insights from our research aim to assist in creating a robust predictive system for any outbreaks in the future.

Figures (4)

• Figure 1: Wordcloud for Most Common Symptoms
• Figure 2: Weather trends for 2(a) Yearly Temperature, Fig 2(b) Yearly Pressure, Fig 2(c) Yearly Visibility, Fig 2(d) Yearly Wind Speed from January 2009 - January 2024.
• Figure 3: Model Architecture
• Figure 4: Prediction Disease Outbreak based on Climatic Conditions