Near Optimal Approximations and Finite Memory Policies for POMPDs with Continuous Spaces
Ali Devran Kara, Erhan Bayraktar, Serdar Yuksel
TL;DR
The paper tackles near-optimal control of POMDPs in which state and observation spaces are continuous. It develops two rigorous approximation strategies: discretizing the hidden state to obtain finite-state belief-MDPs with provable near-optimality under regularity and filter-stability assumptions, and discretizing observations together with finite-memory information to yield finite-model approximations with corresponding performance guarantees. It also provides Q-learning algorithms for the approximate models, including finite-memory and discretized-observation variants, and derives bounds that separate discretization effects from memory-effects using Dobrushin and Hilbert-metric based analyses. The results offer scalable, provably near-optimal strategies for continuous-space POMDPs and offer practical guidance on trading off discretization granularity against memory length in learning-based settings.
Abstract
We study an approximation method for partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous spaces. Belief MDP reduction, which has been the standard approach to study POMDPs requires rigorous approximation methods for practical applications, due to the state space being lifted to the space of probability measures. Generalizing recent work, in this paper we present rigorous approximation methods via discretizing the observation space and constructing a fully observed finite MDP model using a finite length history of the discrete observations and control actions. We show that the resulting policy is near-optimal under some regularity assumptions on the channel, and under certain controlled filter stability requirements for the hidden state process. Furthermore, by quantizing the measurements, we are able to utilize refined filter stability conditions. We also provide a Q learning algorithm that uses a finite memory of discretized information variables, and prove its convergence to the optimality equation of the finite fully observed MDP constructed using the approximation method.
