Counting Components of Hurwitz Spaces
Béranger Seguin
TL;DR
This paper studies the asymptotics for the number of connected components of Hurwitz spaces of marked $G$-covers as the number of branch points grows, connecting to the distribution of $ ext{F}_q(T)$-extensions. It introduces the splitting number $igOmega(D_H)$ to quantify non-splitting among subgroups and demonstrates that the leading exponent in the growth is governed by this invariant, unifying and extending EVW’s homological stability results. The authors develop an intrinsic monoid of components, relate it to Hilbert functions of graded algebras, and, through the lifting invariant and Conway–Parker–Fried–Völklein–type theorems, compute leading coefficients in many cases. The work yields precise affine and projective counts, clarifies when the leading term factors through subgroups, and ties the asymptotics to the behavior of $ ext{F}_q(T)$-extensions with prescribed Galois groups, offering new tools for understanding arithmetic statistics of function field extensions.
Abstract
For a finite group $G$, we obtain asymptotics for the number of connected components of Hurwitz spaces of marked $G$-covers (of both the affine and projective lines) whose monodromy classes are constrained in a certain way, when the number of branch points grows to infinity. More precisely, we compute both the degree and (in many cases) the coefficient of the leading monomial in the count of components of marked $G$-covers whose monodromy group is a given subgroup of $G$. By the work of Ellenberg, Tran, Venkatesh and Westerland, these asymptotics are related to the distribution of field extensions of $\mathbb{F}_q(T)$ with Galois group $G$.
