Existence and phase structure of random inverse limit measures
B. J. K. Kleijn
TL;DR
The paper develops a comprehensive existence theory for random measures as inverse limits of random histogram systems on refining partitions, extending Kolmogorov-type constructions to spaces of measures $M^1({\mathscr X})$ under tight, weak, and total-variation topologies. Using coherence and the Bourbaki-Prokhorov-Schwartz framework, it provides necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of Radon limits, and identifies a four-phase structure (absolutely-continuous, fixed-atomic, continuous-singular, random-atomic) that can manifest under different topologies and dependence structures. The theory is illustrated across three major families: Dirichlet histogram limits, Pólya-tree histogram limits, and Gaussian histogram limits (including signed measures), with detailed results on when tight or weak limits exist and which phase they inhabit. The work emphasizes the constructive and computational aspects of histogram limits, enabling finite-dimensional simulations and offering potential applications in nonparametric Bayes, stochastic analysis, and connections to random field theory. Overall, it unifies and extends existing random-measure constructions, providing new tools to analyze phase transitions and approximations of random measures.
Abstract
Analogous to Kolmogorov's theorem for the existence of stochastic processes describing random functions, we consider theorems for the existence of stochastic processes describing random measures, as limits of inverse measure systems. Specifically, given a coherent inverse system of random (bounded/signed/positive/probability) histograms on refining partitions, we study conditions for the existence and uniqueness of a corresponding random inverse limit, a Radon probability measure on the space of (bounded/signed/positive/probability) measures. Depending on the topology (vague/tight/weak/total-variational) and Kingman's notion of complete randomness, the limiting random measure is in one of four phases, distinguished by their degrees of concentration (support/domination/discreteness). Results are applied in the well-known Dirichlet and Polya tree families of random probability measures and in a new Gaussian family of signed inverse limit measures. In these three families, examples of all four phases occur and we describe the corresponding conditions on defining parameters.
