Who Wins Ethereum Block Building Auctions and Why?
Burak Öz, Danning Sui, Thomas Thiery, Florian Matthes
TL;DR
This study addresses centralization risk in Ethereum's MEV-Boost block-building auction by empirically analyzing six months of activity and introducing a transaction-labeling framework that separates transparency and order-flow signals. By computing $TV$, $VP$, $BP$, and $PM$, the authors quantify true block value, validator payments, and builder profitability, enabling a rigorous assessment of which flows and strategies correlate with market share and profits. The key findings show that block market share tracks order-flow diversity (higher entropy), while profitability aligns with access to exclusive providers and certain flows (e.g., exclusive signal, non-atomic arbitrages, Telegram bot flow), revealing a chicken-and-egg dynamic that raises barriers for new entrants. The work discusses implications for maintaining Ethereum's censorship resistance and outlines potential paths forward, including sealed-bid auctions, decentralized builders, and encrypted mempools to reduce centralization pressures in the block-building market.
Abstract
The MEV-Boost block auction contributes approximately 90% of all Ethereum blocks. Between October 2023 and March 2024, only three builders produced 80% of them, highlighting the concentration of power within the block builder market. To foster competition and preserve Ethereum's decentralized ethos and censorship-resistance properties, understanding the dominant players' competitive edges is essential. In this paper, we identify features that play a significant role in builders' ability to win blocks and earn profits by conducting a comprehensive empirical analysis of MEV-Boost auctions over a six-month period. We reveal that block market share positively correlates with order flow diversity, while profitability correlates with access to order flow from Exclusive Providers, such as integrated searchers and external providers with exclusivity deals. Additionally, we show a positive correlation between market share and profit margin among the top ten builders, with features such as exclusive signal, non-atomic arbitrages, and Telegram bot flow strongly correlating with both metrics. This highlights a "chicken-and-egg" problem where builders need differentiated order flow to profit, but only receive such flow if they have a significant market share. Overall, this work provides an in-depth analysis of the key features driving the builder market towards centralization and offers valuable insights for designing further iterations of Ethereum block auctions, preserving Ethereum's censorship resistance properties.
