Metric extrapolation in the Wasserstein space
Thomas O. Gallouët, Andrea Natale, Gabriele Todeschi
TL;DR
This work introduces metric extrapolation in the Wasserstein space as a variational problem that extends minimizing geodesics to arbitrary times by allowing negative coefficients. It establishes two equivalent convex formulations—Toland duality and a weak/barycentric OT framework—and develops an Entropic-Sinkhorn-based numerical scheme for atomic measures. Theoretical results include existence, uniqueness, strong duality, and connections to $H^1$ projection via Gamma-convergence, plus explicit one-dimensional reductions and special cases. Comprehensive numerical experiments demonstrate shape extrapolation and comparisons to gradient-flow dynamics, highlighting the method's ability to extrapolate probability measures while preserving structure and momentum where appropriate.
Abstract
In this article we study a variational problem providing a way to extend for all times minimizing geodesics connecting two given probability measures, in the Wasserstein space. This is simply obtained by allowing for negative coefficients in the classical variational characterization of Wasserstein barycenters. We show that this problem admits two equivalent convex formulations: the first can be seen as a particular instance of Toland duality and the second is a barycentric optimal transport problem. We propose an efficient numerical scheme to solve the latter formulation based on entropic regularization and a variant of Sinkhorn algorithm.
