A nonlocal traffic flow model with stochastic velocity
Timo Böhme, Simone Göttlich, Andreas Neuenkirch
TL;DR
The paper develops a stochastic nonlocal traffic flow model by perturbing the nonlocal velocity in a scalar conservation law with kernel $W_\eta$ and velocity $v(\rho)$. It establishes existence, uniqueness, and BV bounds for weak entropy solutions of the resulting sNV PDE, accompanied by a robust Godunov-type numerical scheme that incorporates discrete-time noise with a CFL-stable update. The analysis shows the stochastic flux raises the mean downstream velocity ($\mathbb{E}[V_\epsilon] \ge V$) and explores how the mean behavior relates to the deterministic NV model, particularly noting deviations at high densities and the influence of parameters $\tau$ and $\eta$. Numerical experiments via Monte Carlo simulations reveal how the stochastic perturbations distribute densities and how the mean behavior can approximate or diverge from the deterministic baseline, providing a practical framework for incorporating randomness in nonlocal traffic dynamics.
Abstract
In this paper, we investigate a nonlocal traffic flow model based on a scalar conservation law, where a stochastic velocity function is assumed. In addition to the modeling, theoretical properties of the stochastic nonlocal model are provided, also addressing the question of well-posedness. A detailed numerical analysis offers insights how the stochasticity affects the evolution of densities. Finally, numerical examples illustrate the mean behavior of solutions and the influence of parameters for a large number of realizations.
