Complexity Classes for Online Problems with and without Predictions
Magnus Berg, Joan Boyar, Lene M. Favrholdt, Kim S. Larsen
TL;DR
The paper develops a formal complexity-theoretic framework for online minimization problems with binary predictions, anchored by Online ASG_t as the canonical hard problem. It defines hierarchies of complexity classes C_{η_0,η_1}^t based on reductions that preserve competitiveness with respect to prediction errors, and proves that ASG_{t+1} is strictly harder than ASG_t, yielding a strict, transitive hierarchy. Using a general Reduction Template, the authors establish C_{η_0,η_1}^t-hardness and completeness for a variety of problems (e.g., VC_t, Interval Rejection, k-Spill, 2-SatD, Dominating Set), while also relating the framework to paging lower bounds to derive strong universal lower bounds. Purely online variants are covered, showing the framework applies beyond predictions and that results extend to classical online problems. The work provides a unifying lens to reason about the limits of predictive online algorithms and informs when richer prediction schemes are necessary for tractable performance.
Abstract
With the developments in machine learning, there has been a surge in interest and results focused on algorithms utilizing predictions, not least in online algorithms where most new results incorporate the prediction aspect for concrete online problems. While the structural computational hardness of problems with regards to time and space is quite well developed, not much is known about online problems where time and space resources are typically not in focus. Some information-theoretical insights were gained when researchers considered online algorithms with oracle advice, but predictions of uncertain quality is a very different matter. We initiate the development of a complexity theory for online problems with predictions, focusing on binary predictions for minimization problems. Based on the most generic hard online problem type, string guessing, we define a family of hierarchies of complexity classes (indexed by pairs of error measures) and develop notions of reductions, class membership, hardness, and completeness. Our framework contains all the tools one expects to find when working with complexity, and we illustrate our tools by analyzing problems with different characteristics. In addition, we show that known lower bounds for paging with predictions apply directly to all hard problems for each class in the hierarchy based on the canonical pair of error measures. Our work also implies corresponding complexity classes for classic online problems without predictions, with the corresponding complete problems.
