Improving Linear System Solvers for Hyperparameter Optimisation in Iterative Gaussian Processes
Jihao Andreas Lin, Shreyas Padhy, Bruno Mlodozeniec, Javier Antorán, José Miguel Hernández-Lobato
TL;DR
This work tackles the scalability of Gaussian process hyperparameter optimisation on large datasets by recasting GP computations in an iterative framework. It introduces a pathwise gradient estimator, warm-starting of linear-system solvers, and early stopping under compute budgets, showcasing how these components synergistically accelerate marginal likelihood optimisation while enabling posterior sampling via pathwise conditioning. The pathwise approach reduces solver iterations, yields posterior samples without extra solves, and, when combined with warm starts, delivers up to $72\times$ speed-ups with negligible bias in practice. The methods are validated across diverse UCI datasets and solver types, with strong empirical evidence that significant computational savings do not come at the expense of predictive performance, and they are complemented by theoretical justifications and public code availability. These contributions substantially enhance the practicality of scalable GP-based hyperparameter optimisation in real-world, large-scale settings.
Abstract
Scaling hyperparameter optimisation to very large datasets remains an open problem in the Gaussian process community. This paper focuses on iterative methods, which use linear system solvers, like conjugate gradients, alternating projections or stochastic gradient descent, to construct an estimate of the marginal likelihood gradient. We discuss three key improvements which are applicable across solvers: (i) a pathwise gradient estimator, which reduces the required number of solver iterations and amortises the computational cost of making predictions, (ii) warm starting linear system solvers with the solution from the previous step, which leads to faster solver convergence at the cost of negligible bias, (iii) early stopping linear system solvers after a limited computational budget, which synergises with warm starting, allowing solver progress to accumulate over multiple marginal likelihood steps. These techniques provide speed-ups of up to $72\times$ when solving to tolerance, and decrease the average residual norm by up to $7\times$ when stopping early.
