Optimization hardness constrains ecological transients
William Gilpin
TL;DR
This work addresses the problem of broad, hard-to-predict transients in high-dimensional ecological networks by recasting equilibration as an analogue optimization problem. It introduces a low-rank redundancy framework with $A = P^T (A0 - d I) P + ε E$, showing that functional redundancy makes $A$ ill-conditioned and slows convergence to the equilibrium $n^*$, with $-A n^* = r$ and $n^* \ge 0$. The authors demonstrate that transient chaos emerges as a consequence of slow-manifold dynamics, and that dimensionality reduction via ecomodes preconditions the dynamics by separating fast relaxation from slow solve timescales; diversity selection further elevates ill-conditioning. Perturbation experiments and slow-manifold diagnostics suggest practical routes to detect these effects in real ecosystems and imply a fundamental optimization-hardness constraint on ecological dynamics with potential relevance to other high-dimensional biological networks.
Abstract
Living systems operate far from equilibrium, yet few general frameworks provide global bounds on biological transients. In high-dimensional biological networks like ecosystems, long transients arise from the separate timescales of interactions within versus among subcommunities. Here, we use tools from computational complexity theory to frame equilibration in complex ecosystems as the process of solving an analogue optimization problem. We show that functional redundancies among species in an ecosystem produce difficult, ill-conditioned problems, which physically manifest as transient chaos. We find that the recent success of dimensionality reduction methods in describing ecological dynamics arises due to preconditioning, in which fast relaxation decouples from slow solving timescales. In evolutionary simulations, we show that selection for steady-state species diversity produces ill-conditioning, an effect quantifiable using scaling relations originally derived for numerical analysis of complex optimization problems. Our results demonstrate the physical toll of computational constraints on biological dynamics.
