Optimizing Inventory Placement for a Downstream Online Matching Problem
Boris Epstein, Will Ma
TL;DR
This work addresses the two-stage problem of pre-allocating inventory across multiple warehouses before downstream online fulfillment decisions in e-commerce. It analyzes three surrogate-based placement strategies (Offline, Myopic, Fluid) and proves that, when paired with a high-quality fulfillment policy, Offline placement yields a constant-factor approximation to the optimal joint performance, formalized as $\alpha\big(1-(1-1/d)^d\big)$ with $d$ the maximum demand-feeder degree. The core technical contribution is a tight randomized rounding scheme for the Offline surrogate, plus a sample-average approximation to handle exponentially large demand support, and extends these results to multi-SKU scenarios. Complementing theory, extensive synthetic experiments show Offline placement with a strong fulfillment policy consistently outperforms alternatives, demonstrating practical value even when using sampling-based estimates. Overall, the paper provides scalable, provable guidance for coordinating inventory placement and fulfillment in online matching settings, with clear implications for multi-SKU networks and demand-uncertainty environments.
Abstract
We study the inventory placement problem of splitting $Q$ units of a single item across warehouses in advance of a downstream online matching problem that represents the dynamic fulfillment decisions of an e-commerce retailer. This is a challenging problem both theoretically, due to the computational complexity of the downstream matching problem, and practically, as the fulfillment team continuously updates its algorithm while the placement team lacks direct evaluation of placement decisions. We compare the performance of three placement procedures based on optimizing surrogate functions that have been studied and applied: Offline, Myopic, and Fluid placement. On the theory side, we show that optimizing inventory placement for the Offline surrogate leads to an $α(1-(1-1/d)^d)$-approximation for the joint placement and fulfillment problem under any demand model that admits an $α$-competitive fulfillment policy. We assume $d$ is an upper bound on how many warehouses can serve any demand location. The crux of our theoretical contribution is to use randomized rounding to derive a tight $(1-(1-1/d)^d)$-approximation for the integer programming problem of optimizing the Offline surrogate. We further show how to extend this result to a multi-SKU setting, improving upon the best known approximation of $1/2$. We use statistical learning to show that rounding after optimizing a sample-average Offline surrogate, which is necessary due to the exponentially-sized support, indeed has vanishing loss. On the experimental side, we evaluate how different combinations of placement and fulfillment procedures perform on a wide array of synthetic instances. When coupled with a good fulfillment procedure, optimizing the Offline surrogate performs best even compared to computationally-intensive simulation procedures, corroborating our theory.
