On the return probability of the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees
Peter Müller, Jakob Stern
TL;DR
This work analyzes the annealed return probability $R_t$ of a simple random walk on a Galton--Watson tree conditioned on non-extinction. By extending Virág's anchored-expansion approach and introducing probabilistic control of bad-tree geometries alongside a time-dependent regularization, the authors construct an induced Markov chain on the $q$-oceans that inherits favorable isoperimetric properties. They prove a sharp subexponential bound with optimal exponent $1/3$ for bounded offspring support, and extend the bounds to unbounded offspring with tails decaying as $p_j\le c_1 e^{-c_2 j^k}$, yielding $R_t \le \exp(-c t^{1/3-2/(3k)})$, with further improvements for faster decays. The results connect geometric properties of random trees to spectral bounds for random walks, yielding precise annealed heat-kernel decay rates and contributing to understanding of random-graph limits and spectral theory on trees.
Abstract
We consider the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees with supercritical offspring distribution, conditioned on non-extinction. In case the offspring distribution has finite support, we prove an upper bound for the annealed return probability to the root which decays subexponentially in time with exponent 1/3. This exponent is optimal. Our result improves the previously known subexponential upper bound with exponent 1/5 by Piau [Ann. Probab. 26, 1016-1040 (1998)]. For offspring distributions with unbounded support but sufficiently fast decay, our method also yields improved subexponential upper bounds.
