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The Effects of Transmission-Rights Pricing on Multi-Stage Electricity Markets

Erwann de Belloy de Saint-Lienard, Jakub Marecek, Vyacheslav Kungurtsev

TL;DR

This paper analyzes how cross-border transmission capacity pricing affects multi-stage electricity markets using two analytical models. It develops a two-stage Cournot framework with elastic demand and asymmetric costs, and a PTR-based model with primary and secondary markets, analyzed via backward induction and LCP/KKT methods. It shows that, even when day-ahead trading can lower prices and improve welfare, noncooperation can lead to prisoner's dilemmas, and identifies rights withholding in PTR markets as a key efficiency risk. The work also evaluates regulatory tools such as UIOSI/UIOLI and congestion-cost management (via $\eta$) to mitigate market power and improve cross-border integration, offering guidance for market design and policy in decentralized electricity grids.

Abstract

Cross-border transmission infrastructure is pivotal in balancing modern power systems, but requires fair allocation of cross-border transmission capacity, possibly via fair pricing thereof. This requirement can be implemented using multi-stage market mechanisms for Physical Transmission Rights (PTRs). We analyse the related dynamics, and show prisoner's dilemma arises. Understanding these dynamics enables the development of novel market-settlement mechanisms to enhance market efficiency and incentivize renewable energy use.

The Effects of Transmission-Rights Pricing on Multi-Stage Electricity Markets

TL;DR

This paper analyzes how cross-border transmission capacity pricing affects multi-stage electricity markets using two analytical models. It develops a two-stage Cournot framework with elastic demand and asymmetric costs, and a PTR-based model with primary and secondary markets, analyzed via backward induction and LCP/KKT methods. It shows that, even when day-ahead trading can lower prices and improve welfare, noncooperation can lead to prisoner's dilemmas, and identifies rights withholding in PTR markets as a key efficiency risk. The work also evaluates regulatory tools such as UIOSI/UIOLI and congestion-cost management (via ) to mitigate market power and improve cross-border integration, offering guidance for market design and policy in decentralized electricity grids.

Abstract

Cross-border transmission infrastructure is pivotal in balancing modern power systems, but requires fair allocation of cross-border transmission capacity, possibly via fair pricing thereof. This requirement can be implemented using multi-stage market mechanisms for Physical Transmission Rights (PTRs). We analyse the related dynamics, and show prisoner's dilemma arises. Understanding these dynamics enables the development of novel market-settlement mechanisms to enhance market efficiency and incentivize renewable energy use.
Paper Structure (19 sections, 8 theorems, 49 equations, 2 figures, 1 table)

This paper contains 19 sections, 8 theorems, 49 equations, 2 figures, 1 table.

Key Result

Theorem 3

The arbitrageurs profit chosen to optimize social welfare $\beta_A$ is:

Figures (2)

  • Figure 1: A schematic illustration of two markets with a duopoly of two generators in each market.
  • Figure 2: Timeline of the second model

Theorems & Definitions (18)

  • proof
  • Remark 2
  • proof
  • Theorem 3: Optimal profit of arbitrageurs
  • proof
  • Lemma 5
  • proof
  • Lemma 6
  • proof
  • Theorem 7
  • ...and 8 more