On distributional limit laws for recurrence
Mark Holland, Mike Todd
TL;DR
This work analyzes recurrence statistics for measure-preserving dynamical systems, focusing on close returns to the initial orbit via the process $X_n(x)=d(f^n(x),x)$ and the counting process $R_n(r_n,x)$. It proves a Poisson-like distributional limit for $R_n(r_n,x)$ with $r_n=\tau/(2n)$, where the limiting law is an averaged, density-weighted Poisson mass $\int_{\mathcal{X}} \frac{\tau^k \rho(x)^{k+1}}{k!} e^{-\tau \rho(x)}\,dx$, capturing the influence of the invariant density. The results extend to asymptotically hyperbolic recurrence, with explicit examples such as Manneville-Pomeau and Misiurewicz-Thurston maps, and even intermittent cusp maps where the limit can be heavy-tailed; the authors also obtain almost-sure recurrence-rate bounds via refined correlation and short-return controls. The methodology combines decay of correlations, a hitting-time reduction, and Chen–Stein–type Poisson approximation to yield quantitative error terms and justify averaging over initial conditions, linking recurrence statistics to extreme-value-like phenomena in a rigorous dynamical-systems framework.
Abstract
For a probability measure preserving dynamical system $(\mathcal{X},f,μ)$, the Poincaré Recurrence Theorem asserts that $μ$-almost every orbit is recurrent with respect to its initial condition. This motivates study of the statistics of the process $X_n(x)=\text{dist}(f^n(x),x))$, and real-valued functions thereof. For a wide class of non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems, we show that the time-$n$ counting process $R_n(x)$ associated to the number recurrences below a certain radii sequence $r_n(τ)$ follows an \emph{averaged} Poisson distribution $G(τ)$. Furthermore, we obtain quantitative results on almost sure rates for the recurrence statistics of the process $X_n$.
