A Test of a Conjecture of Cardy
Van Higgs, Doug Pickrell
TL;DR
The paper investigates Cardy's conjecture for Werner's measure of homotopically nontrivial loops by recasting the problem as an inclusion/exclusion computation over slit-domain conformal maps and evaluating the resulting transfinite diameters with Schwarz–Christoffel mappings. It presents a numerical program that sums alternating terms up to $n=22$, with preliminary evidence suggesting the limit approaches $\pi$, in line with Cardy’s formula, while also exploring the integrability of a height function on universal Teichmüller space and the consistency of Werner measure normalizations. The work situates Cardy’s formula within conformal restriction theory, specifically via the continuum $O(n)$ loop model, and connects numerical conformal mapping techniques to deep geometric questions about loop measures. Overall, it provides both numerical corroboration and theoretical structure (via height-function integrability and normalization equivalence) for Cardy’s conjecture and related Werner-measure questions.
Abstract
In reference to Werner's measure on self-avoiding loops on Riemann surfaces, Cardy conjectured a formula for the measure of all homotopically nontrivial loops in a finite type annular region with modular parameter $ρ$. Ang, Remy and Sun have announced a proof of this conjecture using random conformal geometry. Cardy's formula implies that the measure of the set of homotopically nontrivial loops in the punctured plane which intersect $S^1$ equals $\frac{2π}{\sqrt{3}}$. This set is the disjoint union of the set of loops which avoid a ray from the unit circle to infinity and its complement. There is an inclusion/exclusion sum which, in a limit, calculates the measure of the set of loops which avoid a ray. Each term in the sum involves finding the transfinite diameter of a slit domain. This is numerically accessible using the remarkable Schwarz-Christoffel package developed by Driscoll and Trefethen. Our calculations suggest this sum is around $π$, consistent with Cardy's formula.
