Evolution of urban areas and land surface temperature
Sudipan Saha, Tushar Verma, Dario Augusto Borges Oliveira
TL;DR
The paper addresses how urban expansion influences land surface temperature (LST) by analyzing 20-year summer LST time-series on three cities using unsupervised clustering. It constructs pixel-wise LST trajectories of length $T=20$ and applies $k$-means clustering with $k=4$ to detect spatio-temporal LST patterns, then compares these clusters to built-up density derived from Sentinel-2 using the NDBI and IoU. The work reveals city-specific dynamics, including peripheral LST warming and, in Kolkata, a directional shift of the LST center-of-mass, with IoU values highlighting substantial overlap between LST patterns and built-up areas ($0.58$, $0.76$, $0.59$ for Kolkata, Sao Paulo, and Munich respectively). These findings enhance understanding of urban heat island development and offer a scalable framework for linking remote-sensing LST dynamics to urban planning and climate adaptation.
Abstract
With the global population on the rise, our cities have been expanding to accommodate the growing number of people. The expansion of cities generally leads to the engulfment of peripheral areas. However, such expansion of urban areas is likely to cause increment in areas with increased land surface temperature (LST). By considering each summer as a data point, we form LST multi-year time-series and cluster it to obtain spatio-temporal pattern. We observe several interesting phenomena from these patterns, e.g., some clusters show reasonable similarity to the built-up area, whereas the locations with high temporal variation are seen more in the peripheral areas. Furthermore, the LST center of mass shifts over the years for cities with development activities tilted towards a direction. We conduct the above-mentioned studies for three different cities in three different continents.
