Hitting probabilities and uniformly $S$-transient subgraphs
Emily Dautenhahn, Laurent Saloff-Coste
TL;DR
The paper investigates exit/hitting probabilities for subgraphs embedded in larger graphs under two-sided Gaussian heat-kernel (Harnack) assumptions. It develops both global and refined, geometry-aware bounds for hitting probabilities, first via a boundary-volume ratio bound $\psi_K(x) \le \sum_{n\ge d_x^2} C/W(x,\sqrt{n})$ and then, under inner uniformity, through harmonic profiles and $h$-transforms to obtain two-sided estimates. Central to the methodology are Neumann/Dirichlet kernels, harmonic profiles $h$, and the $h$-transform, which together connect hitting probabilities to transformed volumes $V_h$ and boundary geometry. The results yield both general upper bounds and two-sided bounds for harmonic measures, with extensive lattice examples illustrating $S$-transience versus uniform $S$-transience and drawing connections to Wiener's test. Overall, the work provides a framework for understanding how subgraph geometry and harmonic structure govern survival probabilities of random walks in glued or perforated graphs, with implications for gluing constructions and boundary-harmonic analysis.
Abstract
We study the probability that a random walk started inside a subgraph of a larger graph exits that subgraph (or, equivalently, hits the exterior boundary of the subgraph). Considering the chance a random walk started in the subgraph never leaves the subgraph leads to a notion we call "survival" transience, or $S$-transience. In the case where the heat kernel of the larger graph satisfies two-sided Gaussian estimates, we prove an upper bound on the probability of hitting the boundary of the subgraph. Under the additional hypothesis that the subgraph is inner uniform, we prove a two-sided estimate for this probability. The estimate depends upon a harmonic function in the subgraph. We also provide two-sided estimates for related probabilities, such as the harmonic measure (the chance the walk exits the subgraph at a particular point on its boundary).
