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First-passage area distribution and optimal fluctuations of fractional Brownian motion

A. K. Hartmann, B. Meerson

Abstract

We study the probability distribution $P(A)$ of the area $A=\int_0^T x(t) dt$ swept under fractional Brownian motion (fB\ m) $x(t)$ until its first passage time $T$ to the origin. The process starts at $t=0$ from a specified point $x=L$. We show that $P(A)$ obeys exact scaling relation $$ P(A) = \frac{D^\frac{1}{2H}}{L^{1+\frac{1}{H}}}\,Φ_H\left(\frac{D^\frac{1}{2H} A}{L^{1+\frac{1}{H}}}\right)\,, $$ where $0<H<1$ is the Hurst exponent characterizing the fBm, $D$ is the coefficient of fractional diffusion, and $Φ_H(z)$ is a scaling function. The small-$A$ tail of $P(A)$ has been recently predicted by Meerson and Oshanin [Phys. Rev. E 105, 064137 (2022)], who showed that it has an essential singularity at $A=0$, the character of which depends on $H$. Here we determine the large-$A$ tail of $P(A)$. It is a fat tail, in particular such that the average value of the first-passage area $A$ diverges for all $H$. We also verify the predictions for both tails by performing simple-sampling as well as large-deviation Monte Carlo simulations. The verification includes measurements of $P(A)$ up to probability densities as small as $10^{-190}$. We also perform direct observations of paths conditioned to the area $A$. For the steep small-$A$ tail of $P(A)$ the "optimal paths", i.e. the most probable trajectories of the fBm, dominate the statistics. Finally, we discuss extensions of theory to a more general first-passage functional of the fBm.

First-passage area distribution and optimal fluctuations of fractional Brownian motion

Abstract

We study the probability distribution of the area swept under fractional Brownian motion (fB\ m) until its first passage time to the origin. The process starts at from a specified point . We show that obeys exact scaling relation where is the Hurst exponent characterizing the fBm, is the coefficient of fractional diffusion, and is a scaling function. The small- tail of has been recently predicted by Meerson and Oshanin [Phys. Rev. E 105, 064137 (2022)], who showed that it has an essential singularity at , the character of which depends on . Here we determine the large- tail of . It is a fat tail, in particular such that the average value of the first-passage area diverges for all . We also verify the predictions for both tails by performing simple-sampling as well as large-deviation Monte Carlo simulations. The verification includes measurements of up to probability densities as small as . We also perform direct observations of paths conditioned to the area . For the steep small- tail of the "optimal paths", i.e. the most probable trajectories of the fBm, dominate the statistics. Finally, we discuss extensions of theory to a more general first-passage functional of the fBm.
Paper Structure (8 sections, 21 equations, 8 figures)

This paper contains 8 sections, 21 equations, 8 figures.

Figures (8)

  • Figure 1: Example of a random process, starting at $x(0)=L$ and hitting $x=0$ for the first time at time $T$. The area under the curve until time $T$ is denoted by $A$, and its distribution for the fBm is the focus of this work.
  • Figure 2: Simulated first-passage area distribution $P(A)$ for the standard random walk versus exact theoretical prediction (\ref{['PAexact']}) for the standard Brownian motion ($H=1/2$) with $L=70$.
  • Figure 3: Simulated first-passage area distributions $P(A)$ for the fractional random walk with $H=3/4$ for $L=20$, $L=50$ and $L=100$. The axes are rescaled according to our prediction (\ref{['exactscaling']}) for the fBm. Also shown are two predicted asymptotics for the fBm: Eqs. (\ref{['smallA']}) and (\ref{['largeA']}).
  • Figure 4: Simulated first-passage area distributions $P(A)$ for the fractional random walk with $H=1/4$ for $L=5$, $L=10$ and $L=50$. The axes are rescaled according to our prediction (\ref{['exactscaling']}) for the fBm. Also shown is the large-$A$ tail prediction (\ref{['largeA']}).
  • Figure 5: The small-$A$ tail of the simulated first-passage area distribution $P(A)$ as a function of $1/A$ for the fractional random walk with $H=1/4$ (symbols). Solid lines: theoretical prediction (\ref{['smallA']}) for the fBm.
  • ...and 3 more figures