Asymptotic growth of translation-dilation orbits
Victor Y. Wang
TL;DR
The paper resolves Manin's conjecture for sufficiently split smooth equivariant compactifications X of the ax+b group G over \mathbb{Q} by intertwining geometry, height theory, and non-abelian harmonic analysis. Central to the approach is a Clausen-type family of multiple Dirichlet series that, after a careful geometric-parametric analysis of boundary divisors and their special members, yields the main term matching Peyre's constant ${\mathcal A}_{X,\mathsf{H}}$. The archimedean and non-archimedean analyses are coupled through a spectral expansion into Z_0 (main term) and Z_1 (non-abelian oscillations), with the former providing the log-power term and the latter being controlled to an acceptable error. While the leading term is obtained under splitness and SNC-type assumptions, secondary terms remain challenging in general, and certain examples demonstrate the method’s limits beyond the strictly split setting.
Abstract
By studying some Clausen-like multiple Dirichlet series, we complete the proof of Manin's conjecture for sufficiently split smooth equivariant compactifications of the translation-dilation group over the rationals. Secondary terms remain elusive in general.
