On a Calculable Skorokhod's Integral Based Projection Estimator of the Drift Function in Fractional SDE
Nicolas Marie
TL;DR
The paper tackles nonparametric drift estimation for a fractional SDE driven by a Brownian input with Hurst index $H\in(\tfrac12,1)$, using $N$ independent copies to form a projection-type Skorokhod-based estimator that is not directly computable. It introduces a calculable fixed-point surrogate $\widetilde b_m$ via a map $\Phi_m$ on a function class, and derives explicit $L^2$-error bounds for the auxiliary estimator and the fixed-point estimator under suitable density and dissipativity conditions. The main contributions are (i) an $L^2$-error bound for the calculable approximation of the Skorokhod-based projection, (ii) a contraction-based existence and uniqueness result for the fixed-point estimator, and (iii) a detailed analysis of the bias-variance tradeoffs and rate implications for choices of $m$ and the time horizon $T$, tying Malliavin calculus to practical projection-estimation in fractional SDEs. These results enable principled drift estimation from finite, independent data segments in fractional diffusion models, with explicit dependence on $N$, $T$, and $H$.
Abstract
This paper deals with a Skorokhod's integral based projection type estimator $\widehat b_m$ of the drift function $b_0$ computed from $N\in\mathbb N^*$ independent copies $X^1,\dots,X^N$ of the solution $X$ of $dX_t = b_0(X_t)dt +σdB_t$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H\in (1/2,1)$. Skorokhod's integral based estimators cannot be calculated directly from $X^1,\dots,X^N$, but in this paper an $\mathbb L^2$-error bound is established on a calculable approximation of $\widehat b_m$.
