Optimal Learners for Realizable Regression: PAC Learning and Online Learning
Idan Attias, Steve Hanneke, Alkis Kalavasis, Amin Karbasi, Grigoris Velegkas
TL;DR
The paper tackles the problem of characterizing learnability for realizable real-valued regression under the absolute loss and designs minimax-optimal learners for both PAC and online settings. It introduces a suite of gamma-parameterized combinatorial dimensions (gamma-Graph, gamma-OIG, gamma-DS) that precisely delineate when PAC learnability is possible and, in the online setting, proves a tight characterization via scaled Littlestone trees. Notable contributions include a worst-case ERM learner that is minimax-optimal when the gamma-Graph dimension is finite, a corresponding OIG-based learner whose performance is governed by the gamma-OIG dimension, and a near-tight online algorithm achieving cumulative loss bounded by the online dimension up to a factor of 2. The work also clarifies the roles and limits of existing notions like fat shattering and Natarajan dimensions in realizable regression and lays out a conjecture linking finite gamma-DS dimension to sufficiency, offering a path for future theoretical refinement with practical implications for designing optimal regression learners in adversarial and streaming contexts.
Abstract
In this work, we aim to characterize the statistical complexity of realizable regression both in the PAC learning setting and the online learning setting. Previous work had established the sufficiency of finiteness of the fat shattering dimension for PAC learnability and the necessity of finiteness of the scaled Natarajan dimension, but little progress had been made towards a more complete characterization since the work of Simon (SICOMP '97). To this end, we first introduce a minimax instance optimal learner for realizable regression and propose a novel dimension that both qualitatively and quantitatively characterizes which classes of real-valued predictors are learnable. We then identify a combinatorial dimension related to the Graph dimension that characterizes ERM learnability in the realizable setting. Finally, we establish a necessary condition for learnability based on a combinatorial dimension related to the DS dimension, and conjecture that it may also be sufficient in this context. Additionally, in the context of online learning we provide a dimension that characterizes the minimax instance optimal cumulative loss up to a constant factor and design an optimal online learner for realizable regression, thus resolving an open question raised by Daskalakis and Golowich in STOC '22.
