Stochastic Approach for Price Optimization Problems with Decision-dependent Uncertainty
Yuya Hikima, Akiko Takeda
TL;DR
This work focuses on finding a stationary point and proposes a projected stochastic gradient descent method for the problem by deriving unbiased stochastically gradient estimators and shows that the proposed method outputs solutions with higher total revenues than baselines.
Abstract
Price determination is a central research topic of revenue management in marketing. The important aspect in pricing is controlling the stochastic behavior of demand, and the previous studies have tackled price optimization problems with uncertainties. However, many of those studies assumed that uncertainties are independent of decision variables (i.e., prices) and did not consider situations where demand uncertainty depends on price. Although some price optimization studies have dealt with decision-dependent uncertainty, they make application-specific assumptions in order to obtain an optimal solution or an approximation solution. To handle a wider range of applications with decision-dependent uncertainty, we propose a general non-convex stochastic optimization formulation. This approach aims to maximize the expectation of a revenue function with respect to a random variable representing demand under a decision-dependent distribution. We derived an unbiased stochastic gradient estimator by using a well-tuned variance reduction parameter and used it for a projected stochastic gradient descent method to find a stationary point of our problem. We conducted synthetic experiments and simulation experiments with real data on a retail service application. The results show that the proposed method outputs solutions with higher total revenues than baselines.