Uncertainty Quantification for Recursive Estimation in Adaptive Safety-Critical Control
Max H. Cohen, Makai Mann, Kevin Leahy, Calin Belta
TL;DR
The paper addresses online parameter estimation with uncertainty quantification for adaptive safety-critical control. It shows that the continuous-time RLS estimate is an affine transformation of the initial parameter, enabling efficient propagation of uncertainty via zonotopes and safe controller synthesis using control barrier functions. By unifying set-membership identification with concurrent learning, the authors derive both pointwise and set-valued parameter estimates and provide containment guarantees under FE and disturbance bounds, culminating in robust RaCBF-based safety control implemented via a QP. The framework is demonstrated on nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainty and disturbances, highlighting practical safety benefits and outlining avenues for integration with MPC and broader set representations.
Abstract
In this paper, we present a framework for online parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in the context of adaptive safety-critical control. The key insight enabling our approach is that the parameter estimate generated by the continuous-time recursive least squares (RLS) algorithm at any point in time is an affine transformation of the initial parameter estimate. This property allows for parameterizing such estimates using objects that are closed under affine transformation, such as zonotopes, and enables the efficient propagation of such set-based estimates as time progresses. We illustrate how such an approach facilitates the synthesis of safety-critical controllers for systems with parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances using control barrier functions, and demonstrate the utility of our approach through illustrative examples.
