Counting integral points on symmetric varieties with applications to arithmetic statistics
Arul Shankar, Artane Siad, Ashvin A. Swaminathan
TL;DR
The paper develops a novel framework that blends Bhargava’s geometry-of-numbers counting with dynamical counting techniques to enumerate integral points on symmetric varieties in fundamental domains, enabling precise averages for arithmetic invariants. It provides upper bounds and conjectural equalities for the average sizes of the $2$-torsion in class groups of cubic fields and the $2$-Selmer groups of elliptic curves within various thin (unit-monogenised and wider) families, revealing violations of Cohen–Lenstra–Martinet predictions under global unit-monogenisation and other local conditions. The analysis hinges on orbit parametrisations by ${ m SL}_3$ acting on pairs of ternary quadratic forms, the treatment of cusps via $ riangle$-distinguished orbits, and the computation of local masses that feed the global averages. The results illuminate how global constraints and local ramification data shape arithmetic statistics in families of number fields and elliptic curves, and they establish a robust, transferable machinery for future investigations in arithmetic statistics of symmetric varieties.
Abstract
In this article, we combine Bhargava's geometry-of-numbers methods with the dynamical point-counting methods of Eskin--McMullen and Benoist--Oh to develop a new technique for counting integral points on symmetric varieties lying within fundamental domains for coregular representations. As applications, we study the distribution of the $2$-torsion subgroup of the class group in thin families of cubic number fields, as well as the distribution of the $2$-Selmer groups in thin families of elliptic curves over $\mathbb{Q}$. For example, our results suggest that the existence of a generator of the ring of integers with small norm has an increasing effect on the average size of the $2$-torsion subgroup of the class group, relative to the Cohen--Lenstra predictions.
