Screening Signal-Manipulating Agents via Contests
Yingkai Li, Xiaoyun Qiu
TL;DR
This paper analyzes screening under manipulation where signals reflect hidden, unproductive effort and resources are limited. It proves that welfare-maximizing mechanisms are contests and provides a detailed characterization of the optimal contest, showing that winner-takes-all is not generally optimal, especially with many agents or when items scale with agents. By deploying an interim allocation framework and incentive-compatibility analysis, the authors show that contests prevent information leakage and double-deviation, enabling efficient allocation with minimized effort. The study also explores large-number and large-scale settings, revealing that optimal contests exhibit simple, interpretable structures such as coarse ranking and randomization near critical types, with implications for policy design and real-world contests.
Abstract
We study the design of screening mechanisms subject to competition and manipulation. A social planner has limited resources to allocate to multiple agents using only signals manipulable through unproductive effort. We show that the welfare-maximizing mechanism takes the form of a contest and characterize the optimal contest. We apply our results to two settings: either the planner has one item or a number of items proportional to the number of agents. We show that in both settings, with sufficiently many agents, a winner-takes-all contest is never optimal. In particular, the planner always benefits from randomizing the allocation to some agents.
