Motivic distribution of rational curves and twisted products of toric varieties
Loïs Faisant
TL;DR
The paper develops a geometric, motivic analogue of the Batyrev-Manin-Peyre principle for rational curves on Fano-like varieties, framed in the Grothendieck ring of varieties and augmented by motivic Euler products and weight filtrations. It introduces and analyzes moduli spaces of sections over a fixed curve, equipped with multidegrees relative to chosen Picard-basis models, and proves a key equidistribution principle that is invariant under changes of model. This leads to a motivic Tamagawa number, expressed as a motivic Euler product, and convergence results for toric and twisted-product contexts, including explicit formulas in the toric case with Möbius-type decompositions. The framework unifies arc-space techniques (Greenberg schemes), weak Néron models, and motivic integration to connect asymptotics of moduli spaces with Tamagawa-like constants, enabling the study of twisted products of toric varieties and their rational curves in characteristic-free settings.
Abstract
This work concerns asymptotical stabilisation phenomena occurring in the moduli space of sections of certain algebraic families over a smooth projective curve, whenever the generic fibre of the family is a smooth projective Fano variety, or not far from being Fano. We describe the expected behaviour of the class, in a ring of motivic integration, of the moduli space of sections of given numerical class. Up to an adequate normalisation, it should converge, when the class of the sections goes arbitrarily far from the boundary of the dual of the effective cone, to an effective element given by a motivic Euler product. Such a principle can be seen as an analogue for rational curves of the Batyrev-Manin-Peyre principle for rational points. The central tool of this article is the property of equidistribution of curves. We show that this notion does not depend on the choice of a model of the generic fibre, and that equidistribution of curves holds for smooth projective split toric varieties. As an application, we study the Batyrev-Manin-Peyre principle for curves on a certain kind of twisted products.
