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Maxitive monetary risk measures: worst-case risk assessment and sharp large deviations

José Miguel Zapata

TL;DR

This work investigates maxitive monetary risk measures on $L^0$, establishing that maxitivity plus continuity from below on $L^\infty$ is equivalent to a penalized maximum loss representation ${\rm ML}_I(f)={\rm ess.sup}_X(f-I)$, and that the law-invariant, maxitive case reduces to the plain maximum loss ${\rm ML}$. It provides a comprehensive set of equivalences showing that such risk measures can be represented as penalized maximum losses, with $I_{min}$ playing a central role, and it extends these results to unbounded positions via $L^\phi$. The paper then applies these structural insights to sharp large deviation theory by deriving a non-topological criterion that yields sharp LDP and a Laplace principle in general measurable spaces, and to distorted expectations, obtaining a precise asymptotic form for the distortion-exponential premium under risk pooling. Collectively, the results deliver a robust, topology-free framework for worst-case risk assessment, linking maxitive risk measures to large deviation principles and to premium principles under distortion, with clear implications for both theory and risk-management practice.

Abstract

In decision making under uncertainty and risk, worst-case risk assessments are often conducted using maxitive monetary risk measures. In this article, we study maxitive monetary risk measures on the space $L^0$ of all random variables identified modulo almost sure equality. We prove that a monetary risk measure is maxitive and continuous from below if and only if it is a penalized maximum loss. Furthermore, we characterize the maximum loss as the unique maxitive and law-invariant monetary risk measure. We apply the results to large deviation theory by providing a general criterion to establish a sharp large deviation estimate for sequences of probability measures. We use these findings to provide a formula for the asymptotics of the distortion-exponential insurance premium principle under risk pooling.

Maxitive monetary risk measures: worst-case risk assessment and sharp large deviations

TL;DR

This work investigates maxitive monetary risk measures on , establishing that maxitivity plus continuity from below on is equivalent to a penalized maximum loss representation , and that the law-invariant, maxitive case reduces to the plain maximum loss . It provides a comprehensive set of equivalences showing that such risk measures can be represented as penalized maximum losses, with playing a central role, and it extends these results to unbounded positions via . The paper then applies these structural insights to sharp large deviation theory by deriving a non-topological criterion that yields sharp LDP and a Laplace principle in general measurable spaces, and to distorted expectations, obtaining a precise asymptotic form for the distortion-exponential premium under risk pooling. Collectively, the results deliver a robust, topology-free framework for worst-case risk assessment, linking maxitive risk measures to large deviation principles and to premium principles under distortion, with clear implications for both theory and risk-management practice.

Abstract

In decision making under uncertainty and risk, worst-case risk assessments are often conducted using maxitive monetary risk measures. In this article, we study maxitive monetary risk measures on the space of all random variables identified modulo almost sure equality. We prove that a monetary risk measure is maxitive and continuous from below if and only if it is a penalized maximum loss. Furthermore, we characterize the maximum loss as the unique maxitive and law-invariant monetary risk measure. We apply the results to large deviation theory by providing a general criterion to establish a sharp large deviation estimate for sequences of probability measures. We use these findings to provide a formula for the asymptotics of the distortion-exponential insurance premium principle under risk pooling.
Paper Structure (11 sections, 15 theorems, 139 equations)

This paper contains 11 sections, 15 theorems, 139 equations.

Key Result

Proposition 3.3

Let $\phi\colon E \to [-\infty, \infty]$ be a monetary risk measure. The following are equivalent:

Theorems & Definitions (46)

  • Remark 2.1
  • Definition 2.2
  • Definition 3.1
  • Remark 3.2
  • Proposition 3.3
  • Remark 3.4
  • proof
  • Theorem 4.1
  • Remark 4.2
  • Remark 4.3
  • ...and 36 more