Orthogonal Polynomials Approximation Algorithm (OPAA):a functional analytic approach to estimating probability densities
Lilian W. Bialokozowicz
TL;DR
OPAA tackles the challenge of estimating probability densities and their normalizing weights without relying on priors or independence assumptions. It introduces a functional-analytic framework that represents the square root of the density in an $L^2$ space using a complete Hermite basis, so that the density norm equals the sum of squared transform coefficients and the evidence can be obtained from these coefficients. The method relies on Gauss–Hermite quadrature to compute the expansion coefficients in a parallelizable, one-pass scheme, with universal factors that depend only on the quadrature order and basis degree. The key contributions are the functional perspective, a computation scheme that avoids sampling variance, and explicit mechanisms for scalable high-dimensional density estimation and Bayesian evidence evaluation. Together, these enable accurate, efficient density estimation and posterior normalization in complex Bayesian problems.
Abstract
We present the new Orthogonal Polynomials Approximation Algorithm (OPAA), a parallelizable algorithm that estimates probability distributions using functional analytic approach: first, it finds a smooth functional estimate of the probability distribution, whether it is normalized or not; second, the algorithm provides an estimate of the normalizing weight; and third, the algorithm proposes a new computation scheme to compute such estimates. A core component of OPAA is a special transform of the square root of the joint distribution into a special functional space of our construct. Through this transform, the evidence is equated with the $L^2$ norm of the transformed function, squared. Hence, the evidence can be estimated by the sum of squares of the transform coefficients. Computations can be parallelized and completed in one pass. OPAA can be applied broadly to the estimation of probability density functions. In Bayesian problems, it can be applied to estimating the normalizing weight of the posterior, which is also known as the evidence, serving as an alternative to existing optimization-based methods.
