Stochastic Models for Replication Origin Spacings in Eukaryotic DNA Replication
Huw Day, N C Snaith
TL;DR
This work analyzes the spatial-temporal distribution of replication origins in eukaryotes by introducing a simple 2D Poisson exclusion model that identifies active origins via empty backward light cones, yielding origin repulsion and a tail decay in spacings faster than exponential. It connects this minimal model to the Kolmogorov–Johnson–Mehl–Avrami framework and to Polynuclear Growth models, deriving a closed-form nearest-neighbour spacing density and the mean density of active points, with exact asymptotics for small and large spacings. Comparative data from multiple organisms show qualitative agreement with the predicted repulsion and tail behavior, though inhomogeneous placements may be required for some species. The work also draws links to integrable models, including directed polymers on Poisson points and PNG geometry, highlighting broad mathematical connections and potential for exact results in related growth processes.
Abstract
Replication of genetic material is an important process for all living organisms. Origins of replication initiate the copying of DNA at many points on a chromosome, and it is the distribution of these points that is relevant here, as it presents us with an interesting stochastic process. It was observed by Newman et al. that for various types of yeast cells, there were fewer very small inter-origin spacings, and fewer very large inter-origin spacings in the replication origin data than would be expected if the origins were uncorrelated, random points. We propose a very simple stochastic model for DNA replication and determine that this probabilistic process produces replication origins that display repulsion between origins and relative scarcity of large spacings. We detail some connections between this model and existing polynuclear or polymer growth models.
