Hecke orbits on Shimura varieties of Hodge type
Marco D'Addezio, Pol van Hoften
TL;DR
This work resolves the Hecke orbit conjecture for Shimura varieties of Hodge type at odd primes of good reduction, showing that prime-to-$p$ Hecke orbits are Zariski dense in central leaves and that isogeny classes are dense in Newton strata. The authors develop a novel framework combining local monodromy of $F$-isocrystals, noncommutative generalized Serre–Tate coordinates, and Cartier–Witt stacks to control formal neighbourhoods of central leaves, enabling a rigidity argument that reduces monodromy to the unipotent radical of parabolic subgroups. A key technical advance is bounding monodromy via a geometric descent analysis and a refined local monodromy theorem, complemented by a general full-faithfulness-type result for $F$-isocrystals. The results have broad implications for the geometry of Shimura varieties of Hodge type, including applications to $ ext{l}$-adic Hecke orbits and to density questions in Newton strata, and they provide a framework potentially extendable to parahoric and ramified settings, with connections to Bragg–Yang-type conjectures.
Abstract
We prove the Hecke orbit conjecture of Chai--Oort for Shimura varieties of Hodge type at odd primes of good reduction. We use a novel result for the local monodromy groups of $F$-isocrystals "coming from geometry", which refines Crew's parabolicity conjecture. In the course of the proof, we also introduce a noncommutative generalisation of Serre--Tate coordinates for formal neighbourhoods of central leaves, built upon the previous work of Caraiani--Scholze and Kim. Using these coordinates, we reinterpret Chai--Oort's notion of strongly Tate-linear subspaces and we establish upper bounds for their monodromy groups. For this step, we employ the notion of Cartier--Witt stacks, as introduced by Drinfeld and Bhatt--Lurie. Another crucial ingredient in the proof is a rigidity result proved by Chai--Oort, which shows that the relevant subspaces are strongly Tate-linear. On the way, we generalise de Jong's full faithfulness theorem for $F$-isocrystals.
