Information-theoretic multi-time-scale partially observable systems with inspiration from leukemia treatment
Margaret P. Chapman, Emily Jensen, Steven M. Chan, Laurent Lessard
TL;DR
The paper addresses control of a discrete-time partially observable nonlinear stochastic system with unknown parameters $\theta$, where state and measurement time scales differ, motivated by leukemia treatment. It develops a unifying theoretical framework that blends POMDPs, optimum experiment design via the Fisher information matrix, and stochastic dual/adaptive control, using an augmented belief state $\chi_t=(x_t^\top,\xi_t^\top,\hat{\theta}_t^\top)^\top$. Information-theoretic costs enter the objective as $c_t(\chi_t,u_t)=\hat{c}_t(x_t,u_t;\hat{\theta}_t)+\lambda \bar{c}_t(\chi_t)$ with $\bar{c}_t(\chi_t)=-\min\{\operatorname{trace}(\mathcal{F}_t(\chi_t)), b\}$, promoting informative measurements and parameter estimation. Under regularity assumptions (A1), there exists an optimal policy in the belief-space MDP, and the conceptual leukemia-treatment model demonstrates the framework's potential for data-driven, multi-time-scale dosing strategies and bridging theory to practice in biomedical control.
Abstract
We study a partially observable nonlinear stochastic system with unknown parameters, where the given time scales of the states and measurements may be distinct. The proposed setting is inspired by disease management, particularly leukemia.
