Coupling derivation of optimal-order central moment bounds in exponential last-passage percolation
Elnur Emrah, Nicos Georgiou, Janosch Ortmann
TL;DR
This work develops a soft probabilistic framework for optimal-order central-moment bounds in planar directed exponential LPP and its one-sided-boundary variants. Central to the approach is a coupling with increment-stationary LPP and the use of MGF identities of Rains type, enabling sharp left-tail and right-tail control across bulk, increments, and boundary settings, including a KPZ-to-Gaussian transition. The authors obtain uniform moment bounds for bulk LPP for all $p\ge1$, prove a left-tail bound with exponent $3/2$ (improvable to the optimal $3$ in some directions), and extend the analysis to LPP with boundary, obtaining optimal-order bounds in both KPZ and Gaussian regimes. The results demonstrate the power of the coupling method, offering a robust probabilistic path to sharp fluctuation bounds in KPZ-class models and informing potential extensions to related polymers and random matrix settings.
Abstract
We introduce new probabilistic arguments to derive optimal-order central moment bounds in planar directed last-passage percolation. Our technique is based on couplings with the increment-stationary variants of the model, and is presented in the context of i.i.d. exponential weights for both zero and near-stationary boundary conditions. A main technical novelty in our approach is a new proof of the left-tail fluctuation upper bound with exponent 3/2 for the last-passage times.
