No eleventh conditional Ingleton inequality
Tobias Boege
TL;DR
The paper constructs a rational binary distribution on four binary variables $(X,Y,Z,U)$ that satisfies the CI relations $[X \perp\!\perp Y]$, $[X \perp\!\!\perp Z | U]$, $[Y \perp\!\!\perp U | Z]$, and $[Z \perp\!\perp U | XY]$ while giving a negative Ingleton value $\square({XY|ZU}) \approx -0.00757$, resolving Open Question 1 and confirming that there are exactly ten inclusion-minimal CI sets (up to symmetry) that force Ingleton to hold for four discrete variables; it also settles the last remaining essential conditionality case for Ingleton-type CI inequalities. The authors combine algebraic-statistics methods, circuit/mask analysis, SAT-solving, and numerical optimization to identify the CI structures, derive a rational parametrization with a three-parameter semialgebraic model, and produce a concrete rational counterexample with $p_{1011}=\tfrac{2}{99}$, $p_{1111}=\tfrac{2}{11}$, $p_{0110}=\tfrac{10}{693}$ yielding $\square({XY|ZU})<0$ and an Ingleton violation of about $0.00757$. They further classify essential conditionality, showing that among a family of conditional Ingleton inequalities, only the one labeled (25cI) is essential, using both multiplier-based arguments and a curve of counterexamples parameterized by $\varepsilon \to 0$. Overall, the work fully characterizes when Ingleton-type inequalities are implied by CI assumptions on four discrete variables and provides a reproducible computational framework for verifying such phenomena.
Abstract
A rational probability distribution on four binary random variables $X, Y, Z, U$ is constructed which satisfies the conditional independence relations $[X \mathrel{\text{$\perp\mkern-10mu\perp$}} Y]$, $[X \mathrel{\text{$\perp\mkern-10mu\perp$}} Z \mid U]$, $[Y \mathrel{\text{$\perp\mkern-10mu\perp$}} U \mid Z]$ and $[Z \mathrel{\text{$\perp\mkern-10mu\perp$}} U \mid XY]$ but whose entropy vector violates the Ingleton inequality. This settles a recent question of Studený (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory vol. 67, no. 11) and shows that there are, up to symmetry, precisely ten inclusion-minimal sets of conditional independence assumptions on four discrete random variables which make the Ingleton inequality hold. The last case in the classification of which of these inequalities are essentially conditional is also settled.
